کد خبر : 128312
تاریخ انتشار : پنج‌شنبه 10 ژوئن 2021 - 3:35

تعریف مردم از انتخابات معنادار چیست؟

تعریف مردم از انتخابات معنادار چیست؟

اثبات نیوز؛ گروه سیاسی: احمد شیرزاد فعال سیاسی در روزنامه شرق نوشت: هر انتخاباتی که بسان دربر‌کردن یک قبای از قبل دوخته باشد، رغبت چندانی را در شهروندان برای مشارکت برنمی‌انگیزد. انتخاباتی معنادار است که در آن رأی‌دهندگان احساس کنند واقعا میان دو گزینه یا چند گزینه می‌توانند آزادانه دست به انتخاب بزنند. انتخابات دوم

اثبات نیوز؛

گروه سیاسی: احمد شیرزاد فعال سیاسی در روزنامه شرق نوشت: هر انتخاباتی که بسان دربر‌کردن یک قبای از قبل دوخته باشد، رغبت چندانی را در شهروندان برای مشارکت برنمی‌انگیزد. انتخاباتی معنادار است که در آن رأی‌دهندگان احساس کنند واقعا میان دو گزینه یا چند گزینه می‌توانند آزادانه دست به انتخاب بزنند. انتخابات دوم خرداد ۷۶ نمونه بارز این مدعاست. در آن سال، مجموعه عوالم و افلاک حول محوریت یک کاندیدای معین به چرخش درآمده بودند؛ شمع و گل و پروانه سرود پیروزی او سر می‌دادند و کمتر دست‌اندرکار و مدیری را می‌شد یافت که نسبت به پیروزی کاندیدای مدنظر به خود تردیدی راه داده باشد.
اما چه شد؟ جامعه چند‌ده‌میلیونی ایران واکنشی غیرمنتظره از خود بروز داد و درست به کاندیدایی رأی داد که طراحان نمی‌توانستند پیروزی او را در مخیله خود تصور کنند. در انتخابات مجلس دهم در سال ۹۵ نیز مشابه مجالس هفتم، هشتم و نهم، صحنه برای پیروزی مجموعه‌ای از نامزدهای عمدتا راست‌گرا چیده شده بود. برای رد صلاحیت هر نفر در هر حوزه انتخابی فقط یک دلیل برای ناظران کافی بود؛ امکان رأی‌آوری او در برابر نامزد مدنظر آنها!
در آن سال اصلاح‌طلبان و بخش درخور توجهی از بدنه حامی آنها تصمیم گرفتند از میان مجموعه نامزدهای تأیید‌صلاحیت‌شده موجود به هر حال لیست ببندند و فعالانه وارد صحنه شوند. نتیجه‌اش شد کسب حدود نیمی از کرسی‌های مجلس دهم از سوی لیست امید، حذف همه ۳۰ کاندیدای ائتلاف راست‌گرایان در تهران، تشکیل مجلسی که اگر خاصیت چندانی نداشت ولی لااقل از دو، سه مجلس قبل از خود و از مجلس بعدی خود بسیار کم‌ضررتر بود و بالاخره طی‌شدن دوره‌ای نسبتا آرام در فضای پارلمانی کشور. به موازات مجلس شورای اسلامی، در انتخابات خبرگان آن سال، همراهی مردم با ندای «تکرار می‌کنم» و طراحی هوشمندانه مرحوم هاشمی‌رفسنجانی منجر به حذف چهره‌های کلیدی نظیر آقایان مصباح و یزدی از مجلس خبرگان شد و آقای احمد جنتی در انتهای لیست برگزیدگان تهران جای گرفت.
در همان انتخابات شنیدیم که در برخی استان‌ها مردم حاضر شدند به روحانیون جوان و بی‌نام‌و‌نشان رأی دهند. این دو نمونه نشان می‌دهد جامعه ایران آمادگی دارد که قبای از قبل دوخته‌شده را پس زده و برنامه از پیش ریخته‌شده را در کمال شگفتی برهم زند. ممکن است سؤال شود که چرا این پدیده تا قبل از خرداد ۷۶ رخ نمی‌داد؟ روشن است؛ در یکی، دو دهه اول انقلاب جامعه حساسیت چندانی به تصمیمات مقامات نداشت و آنچه از سوی آنان مقرر می‌شد از طرف اکثریت جامعه خیر و صلاح شمرده می‌شد.
هرچند پدیده ردصلاحیت‌های جناحی از مجلس چهارم کلید خورد و در مجلس پنجم شتاب گرفت، اما تا رسیدن به روند ردصلاحیت‌های گسترده در انتخابات مجلس و ریاست‌جمهوری هنوز فاصله زیادی وجود داشت. در دوران پیشااصلاحات، لااقل برای انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری، جامعه به توافقی که در سطح بزرگان نظام صورت می‌گرفت که چه کسی جلو بیاید، احترام می‌گذاشت و با آن چندان تعارضی حس نمی‌کرد.
اکنون فرصت بسیار محدودی تا انتخابات باقی است. اصولا سناریوی انتخابات به‌گونه‌ای است که چندان مجالی برای سیاست‌ورزی سیاست‌پیشگان باقی نمی‌ماند. در چنین شرایطی کنشگران فقط می‌توانند در مدت محدود و بین گزینه‌های موجود دست به تصمیم بزنند. به‌زعم نگارنده، مأیوس و عصبانی‌کردن بخشی از نیروهای سیاسی و تأثیرگذاران بر جامعه نیز بخشی از سناریو است. تجربه سال ۹۲ در انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری را به یاد بیاوریم؛ ردصلاحیت آیت‌الله فقید هاشمی‌رفسنجانی، یک هدفش کنار‌گذاشتن او بود، اما هدف دیگرش آچمزکردن و از‌نفس‌انداختن تحول‌خواهان جامعه با یک قدرت‌نمایی دور از انتظار بود. اما در همان سال دیری نگذشت که توفان جدیدی برپا شد.در آن شرایط یأس و سرخوردگی، دست‌گذاشتن روی گزینه دور از انتظار (روحانی) و اعمال مدیریت رهبران اصلاح‌طلب در کنار‌رفتن دکتر عارف، شرایطی را رقم زد که کسی فکرش را نمی‌کرد. لحن انتقام‌جویانه راست‌گرایان تندرو در این روزها علیه رئیس‌جمهور و دولت، نشان‌دهنده شدت خشم هشت‌ساله از شکست‌های ۹۲ و ۹۶ است. اکنون چه راهکاری برای پس‌زدن قبای دوخته می‌توان در پیش گرفت؟
کنار کشیدن از عرصه انتخابات و نادیده گرفتن گزینه‌های موجود، درست آن‌چیزی است که جریان مقابل می‌خواهد. من بر این گمانم که آنها دقیقا روی این فرایند حساب کرده‌اند. هرچه مشارکت پایین‌تر، امکان کسب آرا برای کاندیدای مدنظر بیشتر. با فرض حدود ۵۹ میلیون ایرانی واجد شرایط رأی‌دادن در این دوره، یک مشارکت ۴۰ درصدی با حضور ۲۳ میلیون رأی‌دهنده ایدئال جریان مقابل است و هرچه مشارکت از این کمتر شود، کار آسان‌تر خواهد بود. بعد هم بابت مشارکت پایین به قول آقای جنتی «یک چند‌هفته‌ای روزنامه‌ها انتقاداتی می‌نویسند و تمام می‌شود، اما چهار سال جانمان (جانشان) راحت است»!
اما در یک انتخابات با مشارکت ۵۵ تا ۶۰ درصد، تعداد شرکت‌کنندگان به ۳۲ تا ۳۵ میلیون نفر می‌رسد و جریان انتخابات عوض می‌شود. اگر انتخابات به دور دوم کشیده شود، پنجره‌های جدیدی باز خواهد شد. شاید آنچه اتفاق افتاده یک لطف الهی است تا بار دیگر ملت ایران شگفتی بیافریند. دو کاندیدایی که خارج از جریان اصولگرا در دور انتخابات و تبلیغات انتخاباتی قرار گرفته‌اند، تنها شانس ما برای برهم‌زدن برنامه اصولگرایان است. اگر فضا به سمت حمایت از آنها پیش برود، دور از تصور نیست که بتوان روی یکی از آنها نیز اجماع کرد و صحنه را به گونه دیگری رقم زد. امیدوارم.

 

منبع خبر

انتهای خبر/

منبع

برچسب ها :

ناموجود
ارسال نظر شما
مجموع نظرات : 27 در انتظار بررسی : 0 انتشار یافته : 27
  • نظرات ارسال شده توسط شما، پس از تایید توسط مدیران سایت منتشر خواهد شد.
  • نظراتی که حاوی تهمت یا افترا باشد منتشر نخواهد شد.
  • نظراتی که به غیر از زبان فارسی یا غیر مرتبط با خبر باشد منتشر نخواهد شد.

hermes bag یکشنبه , 5 نوامبر 2023 - 17:11

I just wanted to construct a remark to say thanks to you for these awesome tips you are giving out here. My considerable internet investigation has at the end of the day been paid with incredibly good concept to write about with my friends. I would believe that most of us readers are quite endowed to exist in a remarkable community with many outstanding people with beneficial solutions. I feel quite blessed to have discovered your website and look forward to so many more pleasurable minutes reading here. Thank you once again for everything.
hermes bag http://www.hermesbagsonline.com

yeezy چهارشنبه , 15 نوامبر 2023 - 23:44

I simply wanted to write down a quick remark in order to say thanks to you for some of the unique tactics you are placing on this site. My particularly long internet research has now been paid with useful tips to exchange with my family. I ‘d tell you that most of us visitors are rather fortunate to live in a useful site with many awesome professionals with valuable opinions. I feel quite blessed to have encountered your entire web site and look forward to so many more pleasurable times reading here. Thanks once again for a lot of things.
yeezy http://www.yeezy350boost.us.com

cheap jordans پنج‌شنبه , 23 نوامبر 2023 - 12:42

I and my pals ended up studying the excellent ideas found on your site and then before long developed a horrible suspicion I never expressed respect to the web site owner for those tips. All of the young boys ended up passionate to read through them and have in effect definitely been enjoying those things. Thank you for genuinely considerably thoughtful as well as for picking varieties of extraordinary areas most people are really wanting to discover. My sincere regret for not saying thanks to sooner.
cheap jordans http://www.shoesjordan.us.com

golden goose white sneakers جمعه , 24 نوامبر 2023 - 23:50

I precisely had to thank you so much yet again. I do not know what I would’ve taken care of without the points documented by you over that subject. It became the difficult dilemma in my view, however , viewing this expert strategy you dealt with that forced me to jump for happiness. Now i’m happy for the work and then trust you are aware of a powerful job you are always carrying out teaching people via your site. I know that you have never come across all of us.
golden goose white sneakers http://www.goldengoosessale.com/index.php?main_page=advanced_search_result&search_in_description=1&keyword=white+sneakers

golden goose outlet پنج‌شنبه , 30 نوامبر 2023 - 6:49

Thank you a lot for giving everyone remarkably breathtaking possiblity to read from this website. It is usually very beneficial plus jam-packed with a lot of fun for me personally and my office mates to search your web site nearly thrice per week to study the newest guidance you have got. And of course, I’m also usually pleased with all the unbelievable methods you serve. Certain two areas in this article are in truth the most suitable we have had.
golden goose outlet http://www.goldengooseonlinestore.com

golden goose sneakers sale دوشنبه , 4 دسامبر 2023 - 13:39

Thanks so much for giving everyone an extraordinarily remarkable opportunity to discover important secrets from this web site. It is always very brilliant and jam-packed with amusement for me and my office friends to visit your web site particularly three times every week to find out the latest secrets you have. And of course, we’re certainly motivated for the good hints you serve. Selected 4 tips in this article are in truth the simplest we’ve had.
golden goose sneakers sale http://www.goldengoosesstore.com

golden goose outlet چهارشنبه , 6 دسامبر 2023 - 7:21

I am writing to let you know of the excellent discovery my cousin’s girl developed reading your webblog. She discovered lots of details, including what it’s like to have an awesome coaching mood to let the mediocre ones just comprehend selected very confusing issues. You really did more than our own desires. Thanks for delivering the effective, healthy, educational and also unique tips about that topic to Tanya.
golden goose outlet http://www.goldengoose.us.org

golden goose kids پنج‌شنبه , 7 دسامبر 2023 - 18:49

I must express my thanks to this writer just for rescuing me from such a matter. After researching throughout the online world and meeting principles which were not powerful, I figured my life was done. Being alive devoid of the approaches to the issues you’ve resolved by means of your entire post is a critical case, as well as the kind that could have in a wrong way damaged my entire career if I hadn’t encountered your site. Your actual expertise and kindness in dealing with all the stuff was tremendous. I am not sure what I would have done if I had not encountered such a thing like this. I can also at this moment look ahead to my future. Thanks a lot very much for your impressive and effective help. I won’t think twice to endorse your blog post to anybody who desires guidelines about this topic.
golden goose kids http://www.goldengoosedeluxebrand.us.com/women-c-1

golden goose sliders پنج‌شنبه , 14 دسامبر 2023 - 5:07

A lot of thanks for all your valuable labor on this web site. My mom loves working on internet research and it’s easy to see why. My spouse and i hear all of the compelling form you deliver informative suggestions on your web blog and inspire contribution from other individuals on this issue then our favorite girl has always been being taught a lot. Enjoy the rest of the year. You are performing a terrific job.
golden goose sliders http://www.goldengooseshoes.us.org/men-slide-sneakers-c-76_86.html

off white clothing چهارشنبه , 27 دسامبر 2023 - 19:31

I wish to show some appreciation to you just for rescuing me from this challenge. Just after researching through the internet and coming across principles which were not powerful, I thought my entire life was over. Living without the presence of approaches to the problems you’ve fixed through your main posting is a critical case, and the kind which might have adversely damaged my career if I had not come across your web site. The expertise and kindness in playing with all the stuff was priceless. I don’t know what I would have done if I hadn’t come upon such a step like this. I am able to at this time look ahead to my future. Thanks so much for this expert and results-oriented help. I won’t be reluctant to propose your web sites to any person who would like counselling about this subject matter.
off white clothing http://www.offwhiteoutlet.us.org

jordans پنج‌شنبه , 28 دسامبر 2023 - 23:30

I have to convey my love for your kind-heartedness in support of folks who actually need help with in this area. Your real dedication to getting the solution all around had been wonderfully productive and has made somebody just like me to attain their dreams. Your amazing insightful suggestions can mean a great deal a person like me and substantially more to my fellow workers. Many thanks; from all of us.
jordans http://www.cheapjordanss.us.com

kd shoes شنبه , 30 دسامبر 2023 - 1:30

A lot of thanks for your own efforts on this site. Kate enjoys getting into investigation and it’s really easy to see why. Most of us hear all relating to the compelling manner you present good suggestions through the web site and in addition encourage participation from visitors on the subject matter while our own simple princess is without question starting to learn so much. Have fun with the rest of the new year. You are carrying out a great job.
kd shoes http://www.kd15.org

kyrie shoes یکشنبه , 31 دسامبر 2023 - 9:12

I really wanted to write a small note so as to say thanks to you for these marvelous strategies you are posting at this site. My particularly long internet research has now been paid with beneficial details to talk about with my company. I would declare that most of us website visitors are very much blessed to live in a notable site with very many outstanding professionals with insightful tactics. I feel really privileged to have seen the website and look forward to tons of more cool times reading here. Thank you once again for all the details.
kyrie shoes http://www.kyrie-8.com

bape clothing سه‌شنبه , 2 ژانویه 2024 - 9:51

My spouse and i have been now excited that Michael managed to finish off his studies by way of the precious recommendations he received in your weblog. It is now and again perplexing to simply possibly be giving away helpful tips which usually most people have been selling. And we see we’ve got the blog owner to be grateful to for that. Those illustrations you made, the straightforward site menu, the relationships you can help promote – it’s many incredible, and it’s leading our son and us believe that this subject matter is awesome, which is incredibly fundamental. Thanks for all the pieces!
bape clothing http://www.bapesclothing.com

golden goose جمعه , 5 ژانویه 2024 - 2:19

My wife and i felt absolutely ecstatic that Peter managed to carry out his survey because of the ideas he made out of your site. It’s not at all simplistic to simply possibly be making a gift of tips and tricks which other people have been selling. And we do know we now have the blog owner to appreciate for this. Most of the explanations you have made, the straightforward site menu, the friendships your site give support to promote – it’s everything terrific, and it is aiding our son and us recognize that that matter is excellent, which is extremely mandatory. Thank you for all!
golden goose http://www.goldengooseofficial.com

chrome hearts outlet شنبه , 6 ژانویه 2024 - 8:39

My wife and i were so lucky when Ervin managed to do his analysis through the entire ideas he had from your web site. It is now and again perplexing to simply choose to be offering guidelines that others may have been making money from. We really do know we have got the writer to give thanks to for this. Those explanations you have made, the easy web site menu, the friendships you can aid to instill – it’s got all remarkable, and it’s really aiding our son and us do think the concept is entertaining, and that is wonderfully mandatory. Thanks for all the pieces!
chrome hearts outlet http://www.chromeheartstoreonline.com

ggdb outlet یکشنبه , 7 ژانویه 2024 - 15:59

I wanted to compose you this very small remark to finally give many thanks as before for the splendid pointers you have shown at this time. This has been so open-handed with people like you to give unhampered exactly what many people could have made available for an electronic book to get some money for their own end, primarily since you might well have tried it if you ever desired. These strategies also worked like the great way to understand that most people have a similar interest the same as my own to understand more regarding this problem. I’m certain there are millions of more enjoyable periods ahead for individuals that look over your blog.
ggdb outlet http://www.ggdb.us.com

curry shoes سه‌شنبه , 9 ژانویه 2024 - 0:56

I am just commenting to let you be aware of of the magnificent experience my cousin’s girl experienced going through the blog. She even learned a lot of details, most notably what it is like to have an amazing coaching nature to have the mediocre ones easily have an understanding of several grueling issues. You truly surpassed our expected results. I appreciate you for giving those valuable, trusted, explanatory and even cool guidance on the topic to Mary.
curry shoes http://www.stephencurryshoes.us.com

cheap jordans چهارشنبه , 10 ژانویه 2024 - 4:19

My wife and i have been absolutely fulfilled when Emmanuel managed to finish up his preliminary research through your ideas he was given from your own site. It’s not at all simplistic to just happen to be giving away information that many many others could have been selling. And we consider we’ve got the blog owner to give thanks to for that. These illustrations you have made, the easy site navigation, the relationships your site aid to promote – it’s all fantastic, and it is helping our son in addition to our family recognize that that topic is fun, which is certainly especially essential. Thanks for the whole thing!
cheap jordans http://www.cheapjordan.us

supreme پنج‌شنبه , 11 ژانویه 2024 - 10:59

I needed to draft you that bit of word in order to say thanks a lot over again regarding the pretty tips you have discussed in this article. It is certainly particularly open-handed with people like you giving without restraint all a lot of people could possibly have supplied as an ebook to help with making some cash for themselves, most importantly seeing that you might have tried it in case you wanted. The things also served like a good way to know that other individuals have a similar eagerness just like mine to learn a great deal more regarding this problem. I am sure there are some more pleasant instances ahead for those who start reading your blog.
supreme http://www.supreme.com.co

golden goose شنبه , 13 ژانویه 2024 - 23:26

I as well as my buddies were actually reading the best ideas from the website while instantly came up with a terrible feeling I never expressed respect to the website owner for those tips. All of the young boys appeared to be for that reason glad to read through all of them and already have simply been taking advantage of these things. Thanks for truly being really considerate and then for figuring out this sort of nice areas most people are really eager to be aware of. Our sincere regret for not expressing gratitude to you sooner.
golden goose http://www.golden-goosesoutlet.com

jordan دوشنبه , 15 ژانویه 2024 - 4:30

My spouse and i ended up being absolutely relieved when Michael managed to finish off his investigations through the entire precious recommendations he grabbed from your web pages. It is now and again perplexing to just always be releasing solutions which usually people today could have been trying to sell. Therefore we figure out we’ve got you to appreciate because of that. All of the explanations you made, the simple website menu, the relationships you assist to engender – it is everything awesome, and it’s really facilitating our son in addition to the family consider that the theme is interesting, and that is really indispensable. Many thanks for the whole thing!
jordan http://www.jordanshoesstore.us.com

kyrie 7 سه‌شنبه , 16 ژانویه 2024 - 6:47

I precisely needed to appreciate you yet again. I do not know what I would have achieved without the type of opinions documented by you over such a topic. It truly was the frustrating issue in my position, nevertheless understanding this well-written manner you dealt with it made me to weep over fulfillment. I am happier for your information and in addition hope that you recognize what an amazing job you’re getting into instructing many people using your blog post. I’m certain you’ve never met any of us.
kyrie 7 http://www.kyrie7shoes.us

kd shoes چهارشنبه , 17 ژانویه 2024 - 6:40

I and also my buddies were looking through the best points located on your site and then got an awful suspicion I never expressed respect to the site owner for them. Most of the young boys came excited to read through them and now have actually been tapping into those things. We appreciate you getting considerably thoughtful and for opting for these kinds of good useful guides millions of individuals are really needing to be informed on. Our own honest regret for not expressing appreciation to you earlier.
kd shoes http://www.kd-shoes.us

hermes bag outlet جمعه , 19 ژانویه 2024 - 9:21

Needed to send you the little word just to say thanks a lot as before relating to the splendid views you’ve provided here. It’s so pretty generous of people like you to supply unhampered exactly what a number of people could possibly have offered for an electronic book to end up making some cash for their own end, certainly considering that you might have tried it in the event you desired. These tips in addition worked to become good way to recognize that many people have the same keenness much like my very own to find out whole lot more on the subject of this issue. I am certain there are thousands of more fun opportunities ahead for people who scan through your site.
hermes bag outlet http://www.hermes-outlets.com

goyard store یکشنبه , 21 ژانویه 2024 - 12:40

I intended to post you that tiny remark just to thank you once again with your amazing things you have provided on this website. This is strangely generous with you to present easily what exactly most of us would have offered for an e book in making some money for themselves, precisely seeing that you might have tried it if you desired. These concepts additionally worked as a easy way to comprehend other individuals have a similar passion just like mine to know the truth whole lot more pertaining to this condition. I’m sure there are some more pleasurable periods ahead for many who read carefully your site.
goyard store http://www.goyardsstoreonline.com

goyard سه‌شنبه , 23 ژانویه 2024 - 18:31

I definitely wanted to write down a small word to thank you for the remarkable pointers you are writing here. My incredibly long internet research has at the end been rewarded with reasonable tips to exchange with my friends and family. I would express that we website visitors are very much fortunate to exist in a fabulous community with very many brilliant individuals with good pointers. I feel very much fortunate to have used your entire web site and look forward to many more pleasurable times reading here. Thank you once more for a lot of things.
goyard http://www.goyard-outlet.com